Book: "Eight centuries of Global Real Interest Rates, 1311-2023" (forthcoming, Yale University Press).
Bank of England SWP 845, Jan. 2020.
Data underlying Bank of England, SWP 845 (January 2020 version 1.2).
"Global Housing Returns, Discount Rates, and the Emergence of the Safe Asset, 1465-2024", Jun. 2025.
"Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rate, 1311-2022", with Rogoff and Rossi -- American Economic Review, 114/8 (2024), 2271-2307.
“Banking Crises interventions Across Time and Space”, with Metrick -- Full database, papers, and documentation (Feb. 2024).
accepted, Review of Financial Studies.
"Central Bank balance sheet expansions and the macroeconomy, 1587-2020" (with Moritz Schularick, Niall Ferguson, and Martin Kornejew), 2025,
R&R, Journal of Political Economy.
"Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long Run Data",
with Rogoff and Rossi, NBER Working Paper 33079, Oct. 2024.
"R-G before and after the Great Wars, 1507-2023" with Rogoff,
NBER Working Paper 33202, Nov 2024.