• Book: "Eight centuries of Global Real Interest Rates, 1311-2023" (forthcoming, Yale University Press).

Bank of England SWP 845, Jan. 2020.

 Data underlying Bank of England, SWP 845 (January 2020 version 1.2).

• "Global Housing Returns and the Emergence of the Safe Asset, 1465-2024", Hoover Economics Working Paper 25110 (Jun. 2025).

• "Long-Run Trends in Long-Maturity Real Rate, 1311-2022", with Rogoff and Rossi -- American Economic Review, 114/8 (2024), 2271-2307.

• “Banking Crises interventions Across Time and Space” (with Andrew Metrick). Full database, papers, and documentation (Feb. 2024).  

accepted, Review of Financial Studies.

(summary: NBER WP 29281)

•                                                                                                        "Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long Run Data",                                                                                                 with Rogoff and Rossi, NBER Working Paper 33079, Oct. 2024.

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• "R-G before and after the Great Wars, 1507-2023" with Kenneth Rogoff,

NBER Working Paper 33202, Nov 2024.

• "Central Bank balance sheet expansions and the macroeconomy, 1587-2020" (with Moritz Schularick, Niall Ferguson, and Martin Kornejew). 

CEPR DP 17858 -- January 2023.